MERC

Mercer InternationalA

Nasdaq / Materials

At close

2026-06-03

Current thesis

If May 7 results show EBITDA stabilization, cash preservation, and credible progress on Peace River or cost actions, MERC could rebound from a distressed starting price, with packet targets still above the May 1 anchor.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite.

What can break

Hardwood pulp market weakness already drove major Q4 2025 impairments, especially at Peace River, and the same end-market pressure may still weigh on Q1.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $1.20 · Bull $1.80 · Bear $0.80

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-03

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-03

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $1.81

Why

Momentum76 · Δ7d -

Value43 · Δ7d +0.3

Sentiment77 · Δ7d -

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.3

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendTrend unavailable

Trend unavailable

Δ7d

Δ21d

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 75.9 / Value 43.5 / Sentiment 77.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$61.36M

Beta

0.72

Shares Out

66.98M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-0.1

P/S (TTM)

0.08

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-0.80

Rev YoY

-8.8%

EPS YoY

-359.3%

Gross Margin

+2.9%

Op Margin

-3.6%

Net Debt

$1.3B

Current Ratio

3.01

As of 2026-06-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology