MEDP
MedpaceCNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
At close
2026-07-17
Current thesis
Primary evidence is fundamentally constructive: Q1 revenue rose 26.5% to $706.6 million, net new awards rose 23.7% to $618.4 million, EBITDA rose 25.9% to $149.4 million, and operating cash flow was $151.8 million [#SEC-8K-2026-04-22]. If Q2 shows book-to-bill normalization and unchanged or better guidance, the stock can regain a premium multiple.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-22 · AMC.
What can break
Clinical CRO competition remains intense; Medpace identifies IQVIA, ICON, PPD/Thermo Fisher, Fortrea, and specialty/regional CROs as key competitors [#10-K-2026-02-10].
Momentum
60
Value
62
Sentiment
36
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $503.00 · Bull $540.00 · Bear $395.00
Earnings
2026-07-22 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-14 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-17
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-17
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $485.36
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d -31.5
Value62 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment36 · Δ7d -4.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-31.5
Δ21d
-15.1
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
36
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-3.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 59.6 / Value 62.3 / Sentiment 36.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-14
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-14
Market Cap
$15.31B
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
28.56M
P/E (TTM)
41.0
P/S (TTM)
7.01
P/FCF (TTM)
24.42
Rev YoY
+26.5%
EPS YoY
+16.4%
Gross Margin
+28.0%
Op Margin
+21.5%
Net Debt
-$360.2M
Current Ratio
0.85
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology