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MDRR

Medalist DiversifiedC
Nasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Successful leasing, disciplined acquisitions or accretive dispositions, and maintained dividend drive FFO and multiple higher, supporting a move toward analyst highs (target high-teens).
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Dividend cut or suspension
Momentum
23
Value
61
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.53 · Bull $18.00 · Bear $9.00Analysis 2026-02-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d -
Value61 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Dividend cut or suspension
  • FFO miss or weak leasing
  • Leasing weakness, cap-rate expansion or a dividend cut compress FFO and NAV, pushing shares back toward analyst lows and increasing volatility given thin coverage.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-27

Dividend declaration / payout

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 22.9 / Value 61.0 / Sentiment 57.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$12.53
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$26.29M
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
1.63M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.5
P/S (TTM)
1.35
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-16.38
Rev YoY
-26.6%
EPS YoY
-22.1%
Gross Margin
+47.6%
Op Margin
+16.9%
Net Debt
$29.48M
Current Ratio
1.77
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data