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MDLN

MedlineA
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong underlying demand remains visible through 11.6% Q2 sales growth, 11.5% organic growth, higher adjusted EBITDA, and rapid new-customer conversion. The raised organic-sales outlook supports a constructive medium-term case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reduced to $3.3-$3.4 billion from the prior $3.5-$3.6 billion outlook, highlighting margin and cost pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
11
Value
57
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $44.58
Why
Momentum11 · Δ7d +2.8
Value57 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment86 · Δ7d +11.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA guidance was reduced to $3.3-$3.4 billion from the prior $3.5-$3.6 billion outlook, highlighting margin and cost pressure. [#SEC-8K-2026-05-06] [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • GIC Private Ltd reported open-market sales of MDLN shares on August 5 and 6, 2026, totaling approximately $79.7 million across the disclosed transactions. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-07]
  • • The earnings quality was mixed: net income fell 58.3%, the fire caused a $336 million loss before expected insurance recoveries, tariffs and operating expenses remain pressures, and adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-05

Mixed Q2 print and guidance reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
11
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
+5.4
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+3.2
Sentiment
86
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
-2.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 10.5 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 86.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$45.86B
Beta
-
Shares Out
877.35M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
36.6
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
28.01
Rev YoY
+11.6%
EPS YoY
-83.3%
Gross Margin
+23.8%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$11.07B
Current Ratio
4.33
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data