B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MDLN
MedlineBNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Second-quarter net sales rose 11.6% to $7.7 billion, and management raised organic-sales guidance on existing- and new-customer demand. Sustained customer wins and subsequent Medline Brand conversion could improve earnings quality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
What can break
A 10% owner reported August open-market sales; Form 4 activity does not establish deterioration in operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-17]
Momentum
25
Value
57
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.00 · Bull $46.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-09-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $44.27
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -28.1
Value57 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +12.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04 · BMO.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A 10% owner reported August open-market sales; Form 4 activity does not establish deterioration in operating performance. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-17]
- • Higher costs, tariffs, growth-related investment, quality remediation, Middle East conflict and retail softness could pressure delivery of the adjusted EBITDA outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-12]
- • Second-quarter net income fell 58.3%; the Tracy fire, higher operating costs and tariff effects complicate the margin picture.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-04 · BMO
Second-half EBITDA and fire-cost execution
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-28.1
Δ21d
-14.9
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.8
Δ21d
+5.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 25.3 / Value 57.2 / Sentiment 63.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$42.57B
Beta
-
Shares Out
877.35M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
34.0
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
26.01
Rev YoY
+11.6%
EPS YoY
-83.3%
Gross Margin
+23.8%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$11.07B
Current Ratio
4.33
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data