MDA

MDA SpaceD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Primary sources support a credible execution story: record 2025 revenue and EBITDA, a still-large $4.0 billion backlog, vertical integration from SatixFy, and a visible pipeline tied to sovereign and commercial space programs [#PR-2026-03-04].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.9.

What can break

Backlog conversion slows or major constellation programs slip, limiting 2026 revenue realization.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $34.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $27.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $47.43

Why

Momentum36 · Δ7d -23.5

Value49 · Δ7d +0.9

Sentiment56 · Δ7d +9.1

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-23.5

Δ21d

-30.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.9

Δ21d

+1.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+9.1

Δ21d

+15.2

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 36.1 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 55.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.19B

Beta

-0.02

Shares Out

138.75M

P/E (TTM)

32.6

P/S (TTM)

2.36

P/FCF (TTM)

7.48

Rev YoY

+38.3%

EPS YoY

-10.4%

Gross Margin

+19.5%

Op Margin

+9.9%

Net Debt

$189.02M

Current Ratio

0.80

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology