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MCO

Moody'sB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, margin expansion, strong cash generation, MIS issuance growth, and recurring MA revenue support a positive medium-term thesis. The packet median analyst target of $561.32 implies roughly 19% upside from the $471.50 anchor.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.4.
What can break
AI-driven credit tools and tighter regulation of rating agencies could challenge pricing power or competitive advantages.
Momentum
61
Value
49
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $561.32 · Bull $610.00 · Bear $425.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $550.95
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d +15.2
Value49 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +1.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-driven credit tools and tighter regulation of rating agencies could challenge pricing power or competitive advantages.
  • • Full-year adjusted EPS guidance midpoint modestly trails reported consensus, despite the quarterly beat.
  • • The EPS-guidance midpoint of $16.75 was slightly below reported consensus of $16.78, and the initial premarket decline suggests the beat did not fully remove forward concerns.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-22

Q2 beat with stronger capital returns

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.2
Δ21d
+23.1
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-24.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 61.5 / Value 49.1 / Sentiment 63.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$610.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$561.32
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$425.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$83.73B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
173.2M
P/E (TTM)
42.1
P/S (TTM)
12.53
P/FCF (TTM)
55.00
Rev YoY
+15.1%
EPS YoY
+56.9%
Gross Margin
+68.8%
Op Margin
+46.0%
Net Debt
$4.9B
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data