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MCD

McDonald'sB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
MCD combines durable franchised economics with continued loyalty growth, international menu and value momentum, and a newly appointed U.S. leader focused on improving execution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and target changes are unavailable in the packet.
Momentum
32
Value
48
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $280.00 · Bull $314.30 · Bear $235.00Analysis 2026-08-18; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-18 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $313.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -3.6
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +9.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and target changes are unavailable in the packet.
  • • Direct QSR comparators are now available, but the peer set still does not provide a full operating or valuation comparison table.
  • • The Q2 print showed meaningful U.S.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 results were modestly positive but execution-sensitive

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-3.6
Δ21d
+7.7
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.4
Δ21d
+7.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 31.6 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 75.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-18. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$314.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-18 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$187.9B
Beta
0.53
Shares Out
707.64M
P/E (TTM)
25.6
P/S (TTM)
8.13
P/FCF (TTM)
92.28
Rev YoY
+3.8%
EPS YoY
+5.8%
Gross Margin
+57.4%
Op Margin
+45.7%
Net Debt
$54.04B
Current Ratio
1.08
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data