MCD

McDonald'sD

NYSE / Consumer Services

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Execution of menu initiatives, continued digital mix gains, and stable commodity trends drive higher comps and margin expansion, justifying multiple expansion to analyst highs.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

What can break

Franchisee profitability/relationship strain

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $333.11 · Bull $390.60 · Bear $260.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $323.71

Why

Momentum20 · Δ7d -3.2

Value48 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment70 · Δ7d -1.3

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-3.2

Δ21d

-4.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

-0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.3

Δ21d

-1.0

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 19.5 / Value 48.1 / Sentiment 70.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$190.21B

Beta

0.53

Shares Out

710.51M

P/E (TTM)

25.6

P/S (TTM)

8.13

P/FCF (TTM)

92.28

Rev YoY

+9.4%

EPS YoY

+6.9%

Gross Margin

+57.3%

Op Margin

+46.1%

Net Debt

$54.04B

Current Ratio

1.14

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology