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MAYS

J.W MaysD
Nasdaq / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The constructive case is mostly asset-backed: 25 Elm marketing introduces monetization optionality, the Circleville and Fishkill financings show lenders still support property-backed initiatives, and successful leasing/backfill could stabilize rent after recent churn [#SEC-8K-2026-04-14] [#SEC-8K-2026-04-01] [#8-K-2026-05-15].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
As of June 11, 2026, no new company earnings package was confirmed for the queued June 10 follow-up, leaving near-term visibility unusually limited.
Momentum
67
Value
50
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $48.00 · Bear $34.00Analysis 2026-06-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -
Value50 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • As of June 11, 2026, no new company earnings package was confirmed for the queued June 10 follow-up, leaving near-term visibility unusually limited.
  • • Recent financings improve liquidity options but add fixed and floating interest burdens, minimum balance requirements, and project-execution risk [#SEC-8K-2026-04-01] [#8-K-2026-05-15].
  • • The bearish read is that fundamentals remain too soft for a rerating today: the last confirmed quarterly result was weaker year over year, known tenant non-renewals imply about $1.03 million of annualized rent loss, and new borrowing adds interest and covenant pressure before replacement income is proven [#SEC-8K-2026-03-12] [#SEC-10Q-2025-06-12] [#SEC-8K-2026-04-01] [#8-K-2026-05-15].

Catalyst clock

2026-06-11

Latest confirmed earnings signal is still the weak March print

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
67
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 67.3 / Value 50.2 / Sentiment 46.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$86.54M
Beta
0.08
Shares Out
2.02M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-61.8
P/S (TTM)
3.63
P/FCF (TTM)
271.55
Rev YoY
-5.6%
EPS YoY
-350.2%
Gross Margin
+15.9%
Op Margin
-7.7%
Net Debt
$25.51M
Current Ratio
1.35
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data