MATX

MatsonA

NYSE / Transportation

At close

2026-08-04

Current thesis

The Q2 release showed substantial year-over-year earnings growth and management raised full-year expectations. China volume, rates, and capacity utilization are the key upside drivers, with the company guiding to strong Q3 Ocean Transportation operating income [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.6.

What can break

China-service strength, elevated freight rates, and near-capacity conditions may not persist after peak season.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $225.00 · Bull $250.00 · Bear $185.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-08-04

Fundamentals

As of 2026-08-03 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-08-04 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-08-04

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $261.67

Why

Momentum83 · Δ7d +3.5

Value57 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment64 · Δ7d +0.6

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

10% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+3.5

Δ21d

+9.6

Value

40% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

-0.5

Sentiment

49% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.6

Δ21d

-0.9

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 83.1 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 64.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-08-03

Market Cap

$6.28B

Beta

1.34

Shares Out

30.26M

P/E (TTM)

9.6

P/S (TTM)

1.16

P/FCF (TTM)

34.03

Rev YoY

-3.1%

EPS YoY

-15.1%

Gross Margin

+22.4%

Op Margin

+14.9%

Net Debt

$585.2M

Current Ratio

0.82

As of 2026-08-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology