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MATW

Matthews InternationalC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Deleveraging, $10 million of planned annual engineering savings, higher Memorialization sales, and 5% Product Identification growth provide a recovery path. DBE technology remains a longer-term option.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Copper, steel, labor, and other input-cost inflation may outpace pricing.
Momentum
7
Value
39
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $22.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $18.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $31.33
Why
Momentum7 · Δ7d +4.1
Value39 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +5.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Copper, steel, labor, and other input-cost inflation may outpace pricing.
  • • Debt remains material and the recovery case depends on execution of restructuring and deleveraging.
  • • Q3 produced a $23.7 million net loss and adjusted EBITDA declined to $35 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-07

Q3 FY2026 earnings reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
7
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
-9.1
Value
39
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-12.9
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.5
Δ21d
+8.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 7.4 / Value 38.8 / Sentiment 76.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$717.9M
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
31.21M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
18.3
P/S (TTM)
0.54
P/FCF (TTM)
280.70
Rev YoY
-29.6%
EPS YoY
-253.9%
Gross Margin
+36.3%
Op Margin
-1.5%
Net Debt
$731.68M
Current Ratio
1.76
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data