MATV
MativBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
Primary-source earnings evidence improved the short thesis quality: Q1 margins expanded sharply, adjusted EBITDA rose 28%, and management said favorable price-cost and manufacturing efficiencies should continue through 2026. Secondary post-print coverage also pointed to an EPS beat versus consensus, which helps explain why the initial reaction was not negative despite soft revenue.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
High leverage remains a central risk, with net debt of about $953.5 million at 2026-03-31.
Momentum
32
Value
66
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.00 · Bull $12.50 · Bear $6.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $21.00
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d +0.5
Value66 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment63 · Δ7d -8.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
32
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+25.0
Value
66
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
63
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.1
Δ21d
+0.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 31.8 / Value 65.7 / Sentiment 63.3
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$439.29M
Beta
0.81
Shares Out
55.12M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.3
P/S (TTM)
0.33
P/FCF (TTM)
9.98
Rev YoY
-1.1%
EPS YoY
-97.2%
Gross Margin
+15.7%
Op Margin
-20.1%
Net Debt
$994.1M
Current Ratio
2.26
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology