B+
Bull case
22%
Probability
Target price
$34.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MAN
ManpowerGroupFNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The stock sits below the packet's median target summary of about $39.67, and the company has two identifiable self-help levers: a portfolio simplification step that should add Q2 cash and gain-on-sale support, plus a larger 2028 cost-savings target that could lift margins if end-market demand stabilizes.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
A staffing-heavy global footprint leaves results sensitive to macro hiring volatility, FX, and uneven regional demand despite recent improvement in France and parts of Asia Pacific and Latin America.
Momentum
97
Value
53
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $34.00 · Bear $21.00Analysis 2026-05-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $57.33
Why
Momentum97 · Δ7d -0.2
Value53 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A staffing-heavy global footprint leaves results sensitive to macro hiring volatility, FX, and uneven regional demand despite recent improvement in France and parts of Asia Pacific and Latin America.
- • Balance-sheet improvement from the Jefferson Wells U.S. sale may be less thesis-changing than hoped if core cash generation stays pressured.
- • The latest operating read is still mixed: GAAP EPS fell to $0.05, Experis remains soft, Talent Solutions is still working through slower permanent hiring, and the transformation program adds restructuring friction before the savings arrive.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-31
Q2 results should reflect Jefferson Wells U.S. sale gain and cash proceeds
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
97
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-1.7
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+5.4
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 96.9 / Value 53.0 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
48%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.64B
Beta
0.86
Shares Out
46.51M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-198.9
P/S (TTM)
0.08
P/FCF (TTM)
12.36
Rev YoY
+7.5%
EPS YoY
-178.2%
Gross Margin
+16.2%
Op Margin
+1.8%
Net Debt
$1.22B
Current Ratio
1.04
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data