B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MAKO
Mako MiningDNasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The strongest support is now company-sourced: Q1 2026 delivered record revenue of $68.6 million, adjusted EBITDA of $40.1 million, net income of $23.1 million, and cash plus trade receivables of $96.1 million, while management said both remaining development projects are fully funded from current resources [#PR-2026-05-15].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.
What can break
Cost dispersion is material: Q1 2026 AISC was $1,661/oz at San Albino versus $2,977/oz at Moss, so group margins still rely heavily on improvement at the newer asset [#PR-2026-05-15].
Momentum
95
Value
64
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.30 · Bull $8.40 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-06-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d -0.7
Value64 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cost dispersion is material: Q1 2026 AISC was $1,661/oz at San Albino versus $2,977/oz at Moss, so group margins still rely heavily on improvement at the newer asset [#PR-2026-05-15].
- • Coverage is thin: the packet had no usable SEC filing excerpts, no recent-news set, and no analyst-target summary, limiting independent confirmation and keeping conviction lower.
- • This is still a low-conviction monitoring setup because the evidence base is mostly company releases, external analyst coverage is thin, and the growth thesis depends on Moss ramp execution, later access to higher-grade ore, and successful project delivery at Mt.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
Moss reserve and updated economics are the clearest near-term value check
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
95
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+1.2
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+7.2
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 95.2 / Value 64.1 / Sentiment 40.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-11. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$861.35M
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
87.56M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
4.06
P/FCF (TTM)
16.11
Rev YoY
+61.7%
EPS YoY
+42.4%
Gross Margin
+47.6%
Op Margin
+40.7%
Net Debt
-$77.44M
Current Ratio
3.11
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data