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MAKO

Mako MiningB
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The strongest support is now company-sourced: Q1 2026 delivered record revenue of $68.6 million, adjusted EBITDA of $40.1 million, net income of $23.1 million, and cash plus trade receivables of $96.1 million, while management said both remaining development projects are fully funded from current resources [#PR-2026-05-15].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.
What can break
Cost dispersion is material: Q1 2026 AISC was $1,661/oz at San Albino versus $2,977/oz at Moss, so group margins still rely heavily on improvement at the newer asset [#PR-2026-05-15].
Momentum
45
Value
66
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.30 · Bull $8.40 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-06-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -29.7
Value66 · Δ7d +1.7
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +10.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cost dispersion is material: Q1 2026 AISC was $1,661/oz at San Albino versus $2,977/oz at Moss, so group margins still rely heavily on improvement at the newer asset [#PR-2026-05-15].
  • • Coverage is thin: the packet had no usable SEC filing excerpts, no recent-news set, and no analyst-target summary, limiting independent confirmation and keeping conviction lower.
  • • This is still a low-conviction monitoring setup because the evidence base is mostly company releases, external analyst coverage is thin, and the growth thesis depends on Moss ramp execution, later access to higher-grade ore, and successful project delivery at Mt.

Catalyst clock

2026-06-30

Moss reserve and updated economics are the clearest near-term value check

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-29.7
Δ21d
-52.7
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
+2.1
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.0
Δ21d
+8.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 44.6 / Value 65.9 / Sentiment 50.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$7.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$701.43M
Beta
1.42
Shares Out
87.61M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
4.06
P/FCF (TTM)
16.11
Rev YoY
+61.7%
EPS YoY
+42.4%
Gross Margin
+47.6%
Op Margin
+40.7%
Net Debt
-$77.44M
Current Ratio
3.11
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data