B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LYTS
LSI IndustriesBNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Record profitability, Display Solutions momentum, positive bookings, and the potential 2,500-site program support a cautiously constructive view. The combined platform could expand customer share-of-wallet if integration and margin execution hold [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q4].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.
What can break
Lighting Q4 sales declined 3% year over year, reflecting uneven automotive and QSR project timing [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q4].
Momentum
16
Value
57
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.00 · Bull $28.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-08-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.25
Why
Momentum16 · Δ7d -5.9
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Lighting Q4 sales declined 3% year over year, reflecting uneven automotive and QSR project timing [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q4].
- • Low coverage, unavailable consensus-surprise data, and unavailable post-print analyst revisions reduce confidence in the earnings reaction.
- • Near-term downside centers on lower-margin Royston signage backlog, integration execution, uneven project timing, and softness in automotive and QSR lighting.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-23
Royston integration and margin recovery test
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
16
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
-25.8
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.5
Δ21d
+17.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 16.0 / Value 56.8 / Sentiment 80.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-25. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-20
Market Cap
$908.63M
Beta
0.19
Shares Out
36.71M
P/E (TTM)
23.5
P/S (TTM)
0.99
P/FCF (TTM)
33.96
Rev YoY
+51.3%
EPS YoY
-31.8%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+6.6%
Net Debt
$63.18M
Current Ratio
1.97
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data