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LYTS

LSI IndustriesD
Nasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The first full Royston quarter, 18% organic Display Solutions growth, the refueling award and stronger segment margin support a credible growth-and-synergy path. SEC earnings exhibit
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.
What can break
June 30 net debt of 2.7x pro forma trailing adjusted EBITDA limits tolerance for an integration or cash-flow miss. SEC earnings exhibit
Momentum
45
Value
57
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.80 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-10-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $30.25
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -7.9
Value57 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment42 · Δ7d -26.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • June 30 net debt of 2.7x pro forma trailing adjusted EBITDA limits tolerance for an integration or cash-flow miss. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Lighting weakness in automotive and quick-service restaurants, plus uneven customer permitting and site schedules, could interrupt growth. SEC earnings exhibit
  • • Lighting sales fell 3% year over year in fiscal Q4, Royston sales declined modestly, project schedules can shift, and net debt was 2.7x pro forma trailing adjusted EBITDA.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-05

Fiscal 2027 first-quarter results test organic growth and Royston integration

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-7.9
Δ21d
-8.3
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
42
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-26.2
Δ21d
-28.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 45.2 / Value 57.0 / Sentiment 42.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$17.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$756.17M
Beta
0.19
Shares Out
37.3M
P/E (TTM)
23.5
P/S (TTM)
0.99
P/FCF (TTM)
33.96
Rev YoY
+51.3%
EPS YoY
-31.8%
Gross Margin
+25.1%
Op Margin
+6.6%
Net Debt
$63.18M
Current Ratio
1.97
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data