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LULU

lululemon athleticaC
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The brand remains globally recognized, international revenue grew 4% in Q2, the company retains substantial liquidity, and a new CEO could improve product and marketing execution. A successful reset could rebuild full-price sales and restore growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
China mainland revenue growth materially below expectations.
Momentum
20
Value
70
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $100.00 · Bull $130.00 · Bear $75.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $99.15
Why
Momentum20 · Δ7d -4.8
Value70 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bearish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • China mainland revenue growth materially below expectations.
  • • Execution risk during the interim-to-incoming CEO transition.
  • • North American weakness, China growth of only 4%, a constant-dollar comparable-sales decline of 10%, inconsistent product response, and repeated outlook pressure indicate a broad execution problem.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-14

Incoming CEO-led operating reset

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
20
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.8
Δ21d
-4.9
Value
70
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 19.6 / Value 69.5 / Sentiment 62.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$130.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$75.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.73B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
113.55M
P/E (TTM)
14.7
P/S (TTM)
2.25
P/FCF (TTM)
22.08
Rev YoY
+4.3%
EPS YoY
-35.1%
Gross Margin
+55.6%
Op Margin
+18.5%
Net Debt
-$8.76M
Current Ratio
2.23
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data