B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LTRX
LantronixCNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bullish read is that Lantronix is showing some business-mix improvement: Q3 revenue grew year over year, GAAP loss narrowed, non-GAAP net income remained positive, Embedded IoT Solutions grew year over year, and management raised FY26 drone revenue expectations while still pointing to double-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2027.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.
What can break
Geographic mix remains uneven, with EMEA and Asia Pacific Japan below prior-year levels in the quarter, which raises execution risk outside the Americas [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Momentum
19
Value
44
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $8.25 · Bear $4.40Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.50
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -17.6
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +4.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Geographic mix remains uneven, with EMEA and Asia Pacific Japan below prior-year levels in the quarter, which raises execution risk outside the Americas [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
- • IoT System Solutions revenue fell year over year to $13.2 million in the March 2026 quarter, showing the recovery is not broad-based [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
- • The bearish read is that the quarter still appears mixed, IoT System Solutions remained down year over year, non-GAAP gross margin slipped modestly, post-print analyst revision evidence is thin, and the May 8, 2026 ATM filing introduces a fresh dilution overhang immediately after earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q4 execution must validate the post-Q3 stabilization story [#10-Q-2026-05-07]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.6
Δ21d
-31.2
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+27.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 19.3 / Value 43.7 / Sentiment 74.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.60
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-26
Market Cap
$296.65M
Beta
1.51
Shares Out
44.61M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-63.8
P/S (TTM)
2.04
P/FCF (TTM)
30.96
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
-70.2%
Gross Margin
+40.4%
Op Margin
-4.6%
Net Debt
$1.06M
Current Ratio
2.74
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data