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LTH

Life Time GroupD
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Life Time is still growing revenue per center membership, visits, and center count while using sale-leasebacks to fund an asset-light expansion plan; if execution holds, the company can keep compounding revenue from a premium membership base.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.
What can break
Consumer demand or visit frequency could slow, which would pressure membership growth and revenue per center membership.
Momentum
77
Value
42
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-05-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $56.07
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -11.3
Value42 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +3.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Consumer demand or visit frequency could slow, which would pressure membership growth and revenue per center membership.
  • • Execution risk remains on new-center openings and on keeping the sale-leaseback / asset-light funding cadence on track.
  • • The bear case is that consumer demand can soften, capex and rent stay heavy, and leverage or interest expense can limit free cash flow; without analyst revision data or fresh transcript digestion in the packet, the forward re-rate is not well confirmed.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

April 2026 sale-leaseback added liquidity

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-10.6
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
49
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.5
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 77.2 / Value 42.5 / Sentiment 49.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
18%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
32%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.13B
Beta
1.68
Shares Out
223.46M
P/E (TTM)
21.6
P/S (TTM)
2.10
P/FCF (TTM)
86.73
Rev YoY
+13.7%
EPS YoY
+39.4%
Gross Margin
+36.4%
Op Margin
+17.2%
Net Debt
$3.96B
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data