LPTH
LightPathFNasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
Bull case vs. anchor 4.19: base is capped at $9.22 (≈2.20× anchor) to respect a 12‑month guardrail while reflecting aggregator consensus averages near $10–11; base assumes accelerated contract ramps yielding ~40% revenue growth and modest margin expansion within 12 months, driven by announced product wins and analyst expectations [#SERP-1][#SERP-2].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Customer concentration
Momentum
17
Value
34
Sentiment
27
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.20 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $3.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.98
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d -7.8
Value34 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment27 · Δ7d -7.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
17
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
-57.1
Value
34
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
27
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.0
Δ21d
+13.1
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 16.7 / Value 34.4 / Sentiment 26.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-22
Market Cap
$804.96M
Beta
0.98
Shares Out
66.36M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-93.3
P/S (TTM)
14.20
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-62.01
Rev YoY
+108.9%
EPS YoY
-19.2%
Gross Margin
+29.9%
Op Margin
-30.5%
Net Debt
$10.31M
Current Ratio
3.85
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology