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LPG

Dorian LPGD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained strong VLGC rates, high utilization and continued special dividends lift NAV toward analyst highs; robust TCEs drive re-rating.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Dividend reduction or suspension
Momentum
89
Value
57
Sentiment
39
Setup hits (3d)
5 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $34.06 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-02-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $54.13
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +4.4
Value57 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment39 · Δ7d -0.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dividend reduction or suspension
  • • Macroeconomic slowdown reducing LPG trade volumes
  • • Prolonged weak charter rates, vessel oversupply or demand shock reduce TCEs, force dividend cuts and compress multiples toward cyclical troughs.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-10

Next quarterly earnings / dividend announcement

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+1.4
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+6.8
Sentiment
39
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-5.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 88.9 / Value 56.9 / Sentiment 39.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$34.06
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.07B
Beta
0.68
Shares Out
42.78M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
2.93
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
103.00
Rev YoY
+123.1%
EPS YoY
+1263.7%
Gross Margin
+60.5%
Op Margin
+52.0%
Net Debt
$381.71M
Current Ratio
3.26
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data