B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$41.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
LPG
Dorian LPGDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained strong VLGC rates, high utilization and continued special dividends lift NAV toward analyst highs; robust TCEs drive re-rating.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Dividend reduction or suspension
Momentum
83
Value
55
Sentiment
35
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $34.06 · Bull $41.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-02-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $54.13
Why
Momentum83 · Δ7d -3.5
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment35 · Δ7d +0.3
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Dividend reduction or suspension
- • Macroeconomic slowdown reducing LPG trade volumes
- • Prolonged weak charter rates, vessel oversupply or demand shock reduce TCEs, force dividend cuts and compress multiples toward cyclical troughs.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-10
Next quarterly earnings / dividend announcement
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
83
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-3.4
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
35
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+2.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 83.0 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 35.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$34.06
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.31B
Beta
0.68
Shares Out
42.78M
P/E (TTM)
11.2
P/S (TTM)
2.93
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
115.00
Rev YoY
+123.1%
EPS YoY
+1263.7%
Gross Margin
+60.5%
Op Margin
+52.0%
Net Debt
$381.71M
Current Ratio
3.26
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data