RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

LNG

Cheniere EnergyB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The Q2 print improved forward visibility: revenue exceeded the pre-print estimate, EBITDA and distributable-cash-flow guidance were raised, production guidance was tightened, Train 6 reached substantial completion, and buybacks continued [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
FY2026 results remain sensitive to production execution, market margins, optimization outcomes, and LNG operating conditions [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Momentum
65
Value
56
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $280.00 · Bull $325.00 · Bear $220.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $312.10
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +5.7
Value56 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +13.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • News driver: Asian LNG Prices Surge To Highest Since 2022 As Iran War Escalates.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY2026 results remain sensitive to production execution, market margins, optimization outcomes, and LNG operating conditions [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • GAAP earnings may remain volatile because derivative valuation effects can differ from underlying cash-flow performance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • The negative post-print price reaction suggests expectations remain demanding.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 revenue beat and raised FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.7
Δ21d
+4.7
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
67
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.6
Δ21d
+1.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 65.5 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 66.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$325.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$280.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$55.13B
Beta
0.27
Shares Out
206.53M
P/E (TTM)
11.0
P/S (TTM)
2.26
P/FCF (TTM)
24.06
Rev YoY
+25.4%
EPS YoY
+100.2%
Gross Margin
+32.0%
Op Margin
+30.2%
Net Debt
$24.86B
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data