B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,475.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LLY
Eli Lilly andANYSE / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 confirmed strong volume-led commercial momentum, higher full-year guidance, continued obesity pipeline progress, and expanding manufacturing capacity. Retatrutide and orforglipron provide additional multi-year optionality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.2.
What can break
Acquired IPR&D charges and recent business-development activity may create earnings volatility and integration demands.
Momentum
42
Value
60
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1,328.08 · Bull $1,475.00 · Bear $1,025.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-08
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $1,349.28
Why
Momentum42 · Δ7d +0.3
Value60 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +7.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquired IPR&D charges and recent business-development activity may create earnings volatility and integration demands.
- • High expectations make demand, supply, reimbursement, pricing, and launch execution important near-term risks.
- • The earnings update raises the execution bar.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Q2 results and higher 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
42
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-28.7
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.2
Δ21d
+3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 42.0 / Value 60.1 / Sentiment 84.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1,328.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1,025.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.11T
Beta
0.39
Shares Out
941.36M
P/E (TTM)
50.9
P/S (TTM)
16.57
P/FCF (TTM)
800.77
Rev YoY
+47.7%
EPS YoY
+26.2%
Gross Margin
+83.4%
Op Margin
+49.7%
Net Debt
$36.6B
Current Ratio
1.35
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data