B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LIND
Lindblad ExpeditionsDNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The earnings follow-up improved the near-term read: pricing, occupancy, and segment EBITDA all moved the right way, and management maintained full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance. If analysts lift 2026 estimates after digesting the print, the stock could still work toward the packet median target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
What can break
A strong post-print move raises the risk that near-term upside becomes dependent on fresh estimate revisions that were not clearly visible by T+3.
Momentum
63
Value
50
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.50 · Bull $25.50 · Bear $17.50Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.71
Why
Momentum63 · Δ7d -29.8
Value50 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +1.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • A strong post-print move raises the risk that near-term upside becomes dependent on fresh estimate revisions that were not clearly visible by T+3.
- • Management explicitly referenced a complex macro and geopolitical environment, leaving booking demand and itinerary execution exposed to external shocks [#8-K-2026-05-05].
- • This is still a medium-coverage name with thin visible post-print revision data, and the stock already reacted well.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-20
Q1 print showed record occupancy, higher yields, and maintained 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
63
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-29.8
Δ21d
-33.2
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+3.2
Sentiment
47
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
+21.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 63.2 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 47.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.15B
Beta
2.27
Shares Out
65.62M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-52.0
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM)
15.45
Rev YoY
+18.6%
EPS YoY
-87.9%
Gross Margin
+38.3%
Op Margin
+7.0%
Net Debt
$374.09M
Current Ratio
0.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data