B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$23.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LEVI
Levi StraussCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.48 exceeded the reported $0.36 consensus, and management raised FY2026 profit guidance. Q4 DTC recovery, continued international and wholesale growth, and the planned $100 million accelerated repurchase could support upside [#SEC-8K-2026-10-07].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
What can break
Q3 DTC revenue grew only 2% and comparable sales were flat; failure to reach management’s mid-single-digit Q4 DTC forecast would weaken the central channel thesis [#SEC-8K-2026-10-07].
Momentum
49
Value
57
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $19.40 · Bull $23.25 · Bear $14.75Analysis 2026-10-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.79
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +9.7
Value57 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment47 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Q3 DTC revenue grew only 2% and comparable sales were flat; failure to reach management’s mid-single-digit Q4 DTC forecast would weaken the central channel thesis [#SEC-8K-2026-10-07].
- • Tariff refunds contributed a net $0.11 of Q3 adjusted EPS and 330 basis points of adjusted EBIT margin after redeployment, complicating assessment of recurring profitability [#SEC-8K-2026-10-07].
- • The EPS beat relied materially on tariff refunds while DTC missed management’s expectations.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-29
Q4 direct-to-consumer recovery must validate management’s forecast
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
49
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
+16.1
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-35.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 48.6 / Value 56.8 / Sentiment 46.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$19.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$8.1B
Beta
1.33
Shares Out
383.47M
P/E (TTM)
16.2
P/S (TTM)
1.30
P/FCF (TTM)
72.43
Rev YoY
+7.9%
EPS YoY
+38.4%
Gross Margin
+61.9%
Op Margin
+11.6%
Net Debt
$1.46B
Current Ratio
1.60
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data