B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LEU
Centrus EnergyBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Centrus combines improving revenue, a reported $3.0 billion contingent backlog, a $900 million DOE HALEU award, and visible centrifuge expansion milestones. Successful conversion of contracts into capacity and cash flow could support substantial re-rating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Backlog is described as contingent and may not convert on the expected timing.
Momentum
5
Value
37
Sentiment
86
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $195.00 · Bull $240.00 · Bear $135.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $226.29
Why
Momentum5 · Δ7d -2.4
Value37 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment86 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Backlog is described as contingent and may not convert on the expected timing.
- • Centrifuge manufacturing expansion and the first Oak Ridge centrifuge may be delayed or costlier than planned.
- • The Q2 result was not uniformly strong: GAAP net income fell year over year, contract deliveries are long dated, and execution, funding, customer timing, and capacity ramp risks remain material.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-05
Mixed but commercially constructive Q2 2026 print
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
5
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
-2.8
Value
37
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
86
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 4.9 / Value 37.4 / Sentiment 85.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$2.1B
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
20.45M
P/E (TTM)
45.7
P/S (TTM)
12.05
P/FCF (TTM)
37.35
Rev YoY
+14.0%
EPS YoY
-51.9%
Gross Margin
+21.9%
Op Margin
+1.6%
Net Debt
-$741.2M
Current Ratio
5.32
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data