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LEGH

Legacy HousingD
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings primary-source read is modestly constructive: LEGH grew operating income, net income, EPS, and book value in Q1 even with lower revenue, and the disclosed workforce-housing order provides a visible near-term revenue bridge if deliveries begin on schedule. [#8-K-2026-05-08]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.
What can break
Consumer credit risk remains a watch item because the provision for loan losses increased year over year in Q1 2026.
Momentum
84
Value
58
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $18.50Analysis 2026-05-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.00
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d -1.7
Value58 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Consumer credit risk remains a watch item because the provision for loan losses increased year over year in Q1 2026.
  • Macro headwinds in affordable housing and dealer/inventory finance softness could offset gains in direct and retail channels.
  • The counterpoint is that revenue still declined, the large deposit is concentrated with a single customer and had not converted to shipments by quarter-end, dealer inventory lending appears softer, and loan-loss provisioning moved higher, so the thesis remains monitoring-oriented rather than a strong upgrade.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-01

Q2 conversion of workforce-housing deposit into shipped revenue

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
+4.1
Value
58
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
44
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+4.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 83.5 / Value 58.5 / Sentiment 43.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$18.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$692.05M
Beta
0.80
Shares Out
23.78M
P/E (TTM)
10.0
P/S (TTM)
2.58
P/FCF (TTM)
25.24
Rev YoY
+32.3%
EPS YoY
+65.1%
Gross Margin
+48.0%
Op Margin
+32.9%
Net Debt
-$5.94M
Current Ratio
3.56
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data