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LCII

LCI IndustriesA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Self-help measures are supporting earnings despite weak demand: second-quarter operating margin expanded 200 basis points, adjusted EBITDA rose 7%, towable-RV content per unit increased 11%, and liquidity was $812 million. Successful product conversion and merger clearance could support a rerating.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.7.
What can break
Continued retail softness and a challenging wholesale RV production environment could outweigh content-per-unit gains.
Momentum
32
Value
63
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $99.00 · Bull $127.70 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-09-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $127.70
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -9.7
Value63 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +13.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Continued retail softness and a challenging wholesale RV production environment could outweigh content-per-unit gains.
  • • LCI was led by an interim chief executive during the latest earnings call, adding leadership-transition uncertainty.
  • • Reported sales fell 13%, management continued to describe outdoor-recreation and RV demand as soft, and the HSR refiling restarted the waiting period.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-09

Antitrust review of the Patrick Industries merger

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
32
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.7
Δ21d
-15.3
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.9
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.7
Δ21d
+15.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 31.9 / Value 63.4 / Sentiment 84.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-12. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$127.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$99.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.53B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
24.31M
P/E (TTM)
17.2
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
15.38
Rev YoY
-12.5%
EPS YoY
+20.1%
Gross Margin
+25.7%
Op Margin
+7.5%
Net Debt
$1.01B
Current Ratio
2.49
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data