B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
LAUR
Laureate EducationANasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong operating momentum: Q2 revenue rose 17% reported and 8% in constant currency, new enrollments increased 10%, total enrollments 6%, and management raised FY2026 guidance while expanding buybacks [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
What can break
Currency benefits and enrollment momentum could reverse.
Momentum
58
Value
60
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $40.50 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $32.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $41.21
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d -15.5
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Currency benefits and enrollment momentum could reverse.
- • First-half results were affected by approximately $9 million of academic-calendar timing; the expected second-half offset may not fully materialize [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
- • The thesis depends on continued enrollment execution and second-half reversal of academic-calendar timing effects.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-03
September Puebla campus intake and H2 enrollment conversion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.5
Δ21d
+4.0
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.7
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+4.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 58.1 / Value 59.9 / Sentiment 74.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$40.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$32.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.19B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
137.75M
P/E (TTM)
25.1
P/S (TTM)
3.18
P/FCF (TTM)
20.99
Rev YoY
+17.5%
EPS YoY
+51.2%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+24.4%
Net Debt
$363.4M
Current Ratio
0.71
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data