LAR

Lithium ArgentinaD

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Primary-source Q1 results were operationally strong: production stayed near design capacity, cash operating cost fell to $5,391/t from $5,618/t in Q4 2025, Exar adjusted EBITDA rose to $105.8 million from $30.4 million, Lithium Argentina cash increased to $97.4 million, and management said Cauchari-Olaroz had distributed about $100 million since the beginning of the year, including $46 million for Lithium Argentina's share [#PR-2026-05-12].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +13.9.

What can break

Argentina regulatory and macro conditions remain material because the asset base and growth plan are concentrated in-country.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $10.00 · Bull $13.00 · Bear $7.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $13.18

Why

Momentum17 · Δ7d -20.2

Value34 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment84 · Δ7d +13.9

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-20.2

Δ21d

-45.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

+0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+13.9

Δ21d

+25.3

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 16.6 / Value 33.8 / Sentiment 83.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.04B

Beta

1.23

Shares Out

163.8M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-13.7

P/S (TTM)

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-50.40

Rev YoY

-100.0%

EPS YoY

-221.6%

Gross Margin

-225.6%

Op Margin

Net Debt

$173.03M

Current Ratio

0.52

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology