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LAND

Gladstone LandD
Nasdaq / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Cash lease revenue increased 7.9%, AFFO loss improved to $0.04 per share from $0.10, operating cash flow rose sharply, and subsequent lease amendments are expected to add about $0.30 million of annual NOI. Liquidity and fixed-rate debt support the dividend and reduce immediate refinancing pressure.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
A $4.2 million impairment was recorded on four Arizona farms.
Momentum
78
Value
61
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $10.00 · Bear $6.80Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $9.33
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +15.7
Value61 · Δ7d -2.5
Sentiment41 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • A $4.2 million impairment was recorded on four Arizona farms.
  • Agricultural prices, crop outcomes, tenant credit, water-rights costs, and interest rates can materially affect results.
  • The quarter still produced a net loss and negative AFFO, with a sizable impairment, lower occupancy, and a lease reset that reduced near-term base rent.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-21

Post-earnings quality concerns

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+15.7
Δ21d
+62.6
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.5
Δ21d
-2.5
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
-16.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 78.0 / Value 61.2 / Sentiment 41.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$6.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$355.45M
Beta
1.21
Shares Out
43.14M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-28.7
P/S (TTM)
5.10
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-13.54
Rev YoY
+3.2%
EPS YoY
-17.9%
Gross Margin
+31.0%
Op Margin
+24.0%
Net Debt
$508.79M
Current Ratio
1.01
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data