B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KR
KrogerBNYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Kroger's company-filed release confirmed 5% adjusted-EPS growth, unchanged FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.10-$5.30, and improved eCommerce and retail-media performance despite weak sales [#SEC-8K-2026-09-11]. Reuters-republished coverage reported that the shares reversed an approximately 3% premarket decline and rose about 3% during the session; the packet's $58.49 closing anchor represents a 2.7% daily gain.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
An executive vice president reported an open-market sale of 30,000 shares at $58.80 on 2026-07-14; this is an insider-activity signal only and does not establish operating weakness [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-15].
Momentum
67
Value
63
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $64.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $50.00Analysis 2026-09-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $69.60
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d -1.0
Value63 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -6.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • An executive vice president reported an open-market sale of 30,000 shares at $58.80 on 2026-07-14; this is an insider-activity signal only and does not establish operating weakness [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-15].
- • FY2026 identical-sales guidance was reduced from 1.0%-2.0% to 0.2%-0.8%, indicating materially weaker top-line visibility [#SEC-8K-2026-09-11].
- • Identical sales without fuel rose only 0.2%, and Kroger materially reduced FY2026 identical-sales guidance to 0.2%-0.8% from 1.0%-2.0% [#SEC-8K-2026-09-11].
Catalyst clock
2026-09-11
Mixed Q2 earnings reset
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
67
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-2.8
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.7
Δ21d
-23.1
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 67.0 / Value 63.5 / Sentiment 51.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-14. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$64.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$50.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$39.43B
Beta
0.62
Shares Out
590.59M
P/E (TTM)
56.6
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
28.38
Rev YoY
+2.2%
EPS YoY
+12.6%
Gross Margin
+21.0%
Op Margin
+3.2%
Net Debt
$20.11B
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data