B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KR
KrogerBNYSE / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The prior thesis remains cautiously constructive: Kroger entered Q2 with maintained FY26 guidance, 19% adjusted eCommerce growth and more than 20% Kroger Precision Marketing profit growth. Meeting expectations and preserving guidance could shift attention toward digital profitability and alternative-profit growth [#SEC-8K-2026-06-18].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.9.
What can break
Identical-sales growth could undershoot expectations amid a challenging grocery backdrop.
Momentum
44
Value
65
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $70.15 · Bear $48.00Analysis 2026-09-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $70.15
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +24.7
Value65 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d -19.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -19.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Identical-sales growth could undershoot expectations amid a challenging grocery backdrop.
- • Reported government scrutiny of beef pricing creates regulatory and headline risk, although company-specific financial exposure is not established in the packet.
- • The scheduled earnings release has not yet occurred, so no Q2 beat, guidance revision, analyst response or post-print price reaction can be confirmed.
Catalyst clock
2026-09-11
Q2 results and guidance checkpoint
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
44
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+24.7
Δ21d
+30.0
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+3.7
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-19.9
Δ21d
-29.8
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 44.0 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 69.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$62.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$48.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$34.35B
Beta
0.62
Shares Out
612.65M
P/E (TTM)
56.6
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
28.38
Rev YoY
+2.2%
EPS YoY
+12.6%
Gross Margin
+21.0%
Op Margin
+3.2%
Net Debt
$20.11B
Current Ratio
0.79
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data