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KOP

KoppersA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Second-quarter Performance Chemicals sales rose 11.5% and segment adjusted EBITDA rose 31.4% year over year; first-half free cash flow reached $72.6 million. Sustained volumes, debt reduction, and successful Stickney savings could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30.
What can break
Input costs, freight expense, and unfavorable Railroad and Utility pricing may keep margins below guidance assumptions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
51
Value
69
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $43.00 · Bull $52.00 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-10-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $58.00
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d -5.7
Value69 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -4.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Input costs, freight expense, and unfavorable Railroad and Utility pricing may keep margins below guidance assumptions. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Low analyst coverage visibility and weak peer comparability limit confidence in valuation targets.
  • • Second-quarter adjusted EBITDA fell 7.9%, with particularly weak Carbon Materials and Chemicals profitability; GAAP results included substantial impairment, restructuring, and closure costs.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30

November 6 third-quarter results and outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
51
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-5.7
Δ21d
-22.4
Value
69
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
+0.4
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.3
Δ21d
-7.8
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 50.6 / Value 69.2 / Sentiment 60.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$43.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$783.7M
Beta
1.40
Shares Out
18.91M
P/E (TTM)
33.6
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
5.93
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
-1051.4%
Gross Margin
+18.4%
Op Margin
+10.1%
Net Debt
$984.5M
Current Ratio
2.33
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data