B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$54.74
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
KNSA
Kiniksa InternationalFNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Positive pivotal/late-stage toplines or a strategic partnership that materially de-risks programs and extends cash runway would prompt rapid multiple expansion and re-rating toward the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Clinical trial failure or safety signal
Momentum
82
Value
60
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.49 · Bull $54.74 · Bear $18.25Analysis 2025-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.00
Why
Momentum82 · Δ7d -1.8
Value60 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Clinical trial failure or safety signal
- • Commercial uptake and reimbursement for approved indications
- • Failed or inconclusive readouts, regulatory setbacks, or an imminent cash shortfall forcing dilutive financing would sharply compress multiples and drive the price toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Quarterly financial report / 10-Q / 8-K corporate update
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
82
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-14.3
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 81.8 / Value 60.2 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$36.49
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.18B
Beta
0.06
Shares Out
78.02M
P/E (TTM)
91.6
P/S (TTM)
5.20
P/FCF (TTM)
30.59
Rev YoY
+55.4%
EPS YoY
+33.3%
Gross Margin
+54.5%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
-$404.58M
Current Ratio
3.90
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data