B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$54.74
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
KNSA
Kiniksa InternationalFNasdaq / Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Positive pivotal/late-stage toplines or a strategic partnership that materially de-risks programs and extends cash runway would prompt rapid multiple expansion and re-rating toward the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
What can break
Clinical trial failure or safety signal
Momentum
94
Value
59
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $36.49 · Bull $54.74 · Bear $18.25Analysis 2025-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-26
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $98.00
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -3.5
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-26.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Clinical trial failure or safety signal
- • Commercial uptake and reimbursement for approved indications
- • Failed or inconclusive readouts, regulatory setbacks, or an imminent cash shortfall forcing dilutive financing would sharply compress multiples and drive the price toward the bear target.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-26
Quarterly financial report / 10-Q / 8-K corporate update
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
94
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
+5.2
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
0
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.5
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 94.4 / Value 59.0 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$36.49
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$18.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.99B
Beta
0.06
Shares Out
78.02M
P/E (TTM)
91.6
P/S (TTM)
5.20
P/FCF (TTM)
30.59
Rev YoY
+55.4%
EPS YoY
+33.3%
Gross Margin
+54.5%
Op Margin
+11.9%
Net Debt
-$404.58M
Current Ratio
3.90
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data