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KMT

KennametalC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
A broad cyclical recovery in manufacturing and mining capex, combined with sustained pricing, favorable mix and successful cost programs, drives material margin expansion and earnings upside; investor sentiment re-rates the multiple toward peers and the stock exceeds consensus highs.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.
What can break
Failure to execute cost‑savings or pricing initiatives
Momentum
21
Value
59
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $44.95 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-02-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $33.00
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +3.4
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -2.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to execute cost‑savings or pricing initiatives
  • • Margin compression from sustained input-cost and freight inflation
  • • End-market softness persists, pricing fails to offset input cost or volume declines, and order backlog weakens; consensus targets compress to the low end and multiple contraction pushes shares toward the downside case.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Analyst research updates / target revisions

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.4
Δ21d
+3.2
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.6
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.4
Δ21d
+1.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 20.7 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 61.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$44.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.42B
Beta
1.49
Shares Out
76.22M
P/E (TTM)
24.0
P/S (TTM)
1.12
P/FCF (TTM)
70.86
Rev YoY
+42.6%
EPS YoY
+936.7%
Gross Margin
+40.8%
Op Margin
+20.4%
Net Debt
$667.92M
Current Ratio
2.62
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data