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KLTR

KalturaD
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Kaltura has already rebuilt profitability, ended 2025 with record Adjusted EBITDA, highest 2025 bookings, and strong retention, then layered in eSelf and PathFactory to create a broader agentic engagement platform with cross-sell potential [#IR-2026-03-16-Q4][#PR-2026-03-16-PathFactory].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
2026 guidance points to only modest revenue growth and lower Adjusted EBITDA than 2025 despite the new AI narrative.
Momentum
77
Value
49
Sentiment
41
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.15 · Bull $1.70 · Bear $0.70Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $3.50
Why
Momentum77 · Δ7d -
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment41 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 guidance points to only modest revenue growth and lower Adjusted EBITDA than 2025 despite the new AI narrative.
  • • ARR and subscription revenue were down in Q4 2025, showing that the legacy business still needs stabilization.
  • • The bear case is that core growth is still soft: Q4 total revenue was roughly flat, subscription revenue fell 2%, ARR fell 3%, Media & Telecom declined 12% from churn, and 2026 guidance implies only roughly flat revenue with lower EBITDA as integration spending rises [#IR-2026-03-16-Q4][#10-K-2026-03-16].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

First post-acquisition quarter tests execution against 2026 guide

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
77
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+3.2
Sentiment
41
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 76.6 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 40.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$250.18M
Beta
1.05
Shares Out
152.55M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-20.8
P/S (TTM)
1.22
P/FCF (TTM)
15.19
Rev YoY
+5.5%
EPS YoY
-25.5%
Gross Margin
+71.7%
Op Margin
-2.0%
Net Debt
-$9.19M
Current Ratio
0.51
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data