B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KHC
Kraft HeinzCNasdaq / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that pricing, mix, productivity, and free cash flow can keep the equity stable while management works through brand investment and portfolio actions. A clearer volume/mix stabilization signal at the June 2026 conference or later operating updates would be needed before treating this as more than a monitoring setup.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adjusted operating income fell 11.8% from increased advertising, inflationary manufacturing/logistics costs, and unfavorable volume/mix.
Momentum
60
Value
62
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $23.90 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $20.50Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $23.86
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +8.0
Value62 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +9.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted operating income fell 11.8% from increased advertising, inflationary manufacturing/logistics costs, and unfavorable volume/mix.
- • Forward visibility is limited: the clearest dated company-specific checkpoint is the June 3, 2026 conference, not a confirmed operating inflection.
- • The bear case is that organic sales remain negative, adjusted operating income is still pressured by advertising and inflation, and leverage/interest expense limit flexibility; the company is relying on pricing more than unit growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-06
Q1 2026 results and FY26 outlook reaffirmed [#10-Q-2026-05-06]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.0
Δ21d
+3.5
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
58
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.9
Δ21d
+1.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 60.0 / Value 61.5 / Sentiment 58.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$23.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$29.35B
Beta
0.06
Shares Out
1.19B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-5.0
P/S (TTM)
1.12
P/FCF (TTM)
16.28
Rev YoY
-1.4%
EPS YoY
-30.3%
Gross Margin
+33.2%
Op Margin
+17.1%
Net Debt
$17.93B
Current Ratio
1.06
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data