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KGS

Kodiak Gas ServicesD
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Improved utilization, successful contract renewals, and margin expansion push realized EBITDA above current consensus; a sustained recovery in regional gas activity supports a premium to analyst median.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.7.
What can break
Loss or renegotiation of major contracts
Momentum
29
Value
42
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.28 · Bull $56.00 · Bear $35.00Analysis 2026-02-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $82.38
Why
Momentum29 · Δ7d +12.0
Value42 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -2.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Loss or renegotiation of major contracts
  • • Operational incident or regulatory action increasing costs
  • • Lower utilization, contract slippage, or weaker regional gas demand drive downward revisions toward the analyst low and materially below the anchor, weighing on free cash flow and valuations.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-27

Next quarterly earnings release

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
29
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.0
Δ21d
+4.1
Value
42
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-6.1
Sentiment
45
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.7
Δ21d
+0.4
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 28.8 / Value 41.8 / Sentiment 45.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$56.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$46.28
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$6.68B
Beta
-
Shares Out
101.1M
P/E (TTM)
44.8
P/S (TTM)
2.44
P/FCF (TTM)
42.02
Rev YoY
+21.1%
EPS YoY
+23.0%
Gross Margin
+43.2%
Op Margin
+32.6%
Net Debt
$2.61B
Current Ratio
1.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data