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KGC

Kinross GoldA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong first-half free cash flow, maintained 2026 production and cost guidance, net cash, and ongoing buybacks support a constructive operating case. Great Bear and Lobo-Marte provide additional long-duration optionality.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and verified post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
Momentum
12
Value
71
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $24.50 · Bull $29.00 · Bear $19.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.66
Why
Momentum12 · Δ7d -2.6
Value71 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, consensus surprise data, and verified post-earnings market-reaction attribution are unavailable.
  • • Gold-price exposure creates material sensitivity to realized prices and cash-flow expectations.
  • • The stock remains exposed to gold-price and cost volatility, with potentially higher second-half costs and regulatory or permitting delays at development projects.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 2026 results reinforced strong cash generation and maintained outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
12
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
-5.4
Value
71
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
63
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
+1.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 11.7 / Value 71.4 / Sentiment 62.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$24.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$26.51B
Beta
1.18
Shares Out
1.19B
P/E (TTM)
20.3
P/S (TTM)
5.46
P/FCF (TTM)
16.79
Rev YoY
+29.5%
EPS YoY
+63.6%
Gross Margin
+53.6%
Op Margin
+50.1%
Net Debt
-$997.3M
Current Ratio
2.89
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data