B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KFRC
KforceFNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary-source case improved after the April 27, 2026 earnings release: revenue returned to year-over-year growth, EPS beat management's own guide range, Q2 guidance implies faster growth, and margin improvement suggests incremental operating leverage if tech demand continues to firm.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.
What can break
Kforce said its more integrated client approach can increase revenue concentration among larger customers, raising downside if volumes or pricing change with major accounts [#10-K-2026-02-20].
Momentum
61
Value
41
Sentiment
23
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $39.00 · Bear $28.00Analysis 2026-04-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $60.67
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d -18.0
Value41 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment23 · Δ7d +9.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Kforce said its more integrated client approach can increase revenue concentration among larger customers, raising downside if volumes or pricing change with major accounts [#10-K-2026-02-20].
- • Q2 guidance embeds better revenue growth and higher operating margin; failure to convert the stronger first-month trend into quarter-long execution would pressure the stock after a constructive print [#8-K-2026-04-27].
- • The thesis is still mostly a monitoring view because Kforce remains heavily tied to cyclical technology staffing demand, 2025 revenue was still down meaningfully in the filing history, and low external coverage leaves limited confirmation on whether the Q1 inflection is durable beyond management commentary.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
Q1 beat versus management guide and Q2 acceleration setup
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-18.0
Δ21d
-27.4
Value
41
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-6.5
Sentiment
23
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.1
Δ21d
+12.8
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 61.2 / Value 40.6 / Sentiment 22.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.02B
Beta
0.56
Shares Out
17.91M
P/E (TTM)
14.1
P/S (TTM)
0.43
P/FCF (TTM)
22.98
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+23.4%
Gross Margin
+27.3%
Op Margin
+4.0%
Net Debt
$80.8M
Current Ratio
1.93
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data