B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
KEX
KirbyFNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Stronger-than-expected recovery in petrochemical and refined product volumes, improved fleet utilization, and modest pricing power lead to margin expansion and higher free cash flow, supporting mid-20%+ upside over 12–24 months.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Prolonged weakness in industrial/barge demand, higher fuel costs, or regulatory capex pressures reduce EBITDA and require fleet downtime or asset write-downs, producing downside of ~20–30%.
Momentum
70
Value
59
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $60.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $45.00Analysis 2025-11-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-11-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-18
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-18. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $166.14
Why
Momentum70 · Δ7d -15.1
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Prolonged weakness in industrial/barge demand, higher fuel costs, or regulatory capex pressures reduce EBITDA and require fleet downtime or asset write-downs, producing downside of ~20–30%.
- • Mixed signals. Wait for cleaner trend confirmation.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Fuel cost or regulatory headwinds
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
70
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.1
Δ21d
+8.8
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 70.1 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-11-24. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$60.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-11-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.45B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
52.8M
P/E (TTM)
21.7
P/S (TTM)
1.92
P/FCF (TTM)
12.84
Rev YoY
+7.8%
EPS YoY
+0.0%
Gross Margin
+25.4%
Op Margin
+13.9%
Net Debt
$1.06B
Current Ratio
1.68
As of 2026-09-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data