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KELYA

Kelly ServicesC
Nasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 beat, near-stable underlying revenue, improving ETM and SET trends, and higher FY26 revenue outlook support a credible stabilization thesis. Confirmation of second-half growth could support upside toward $19.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Education weakness continues due to delayed contract decisions and student-enrollment pressure.
Momentum
72
Value
55
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.75 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $11.50Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $20.00
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -9.2
Value55 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -9.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Education weakness continues due to delayed contract decisions and student-enrollment pressure.
  • • Revenue remains in year-over-year decline despite sequential improvement.
  • • Reported revenue still declined 5.8%, Education remains pressured, and prior federal-contractor and large-customer effects complicate comparisons.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 beat and improved FY26 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-9.2
Δ21d
-15.3
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.5
Δ21d
-15.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 72.5 / Value 54.9 / Sentiment 44.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$606.17M
Beta
0.78
Shares Out
34.73M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-2.4
P/S (TTM)
0.07
P/FCF (TTM)
3.44
Rev YoY
-5.8%
EPS YoY
-40.5%
Gross Margin
+18.5%
Op Margin
+0.8%
Net Debt
$126.1M
Current Ratio
1.50
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data