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JPM

JPMorgan ChaseC
NYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher-for-longer NII, contained credit losses, robust trading/IB results, and steady buybacks drive EPS and multiple expansion to the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: JPMorgan Traders Drop Bullish View on Stocks After Warsh Speech.
What can break
Major operational/cybersecurity incident
Momentum
67
Value
48
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $339.05 · Bull $388.63 · Bear $275.28Analysis 2025-12-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-12-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $377.78
Why
Momentum67 · Δ7d +2.8
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +6.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: JPMorgan Traders Drop Bullish View on Stocks After Warsh Speech.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Major operational/cybersecurity incident
  • • Rapid decline in interest rates reducing NII
  • • Rate cuts or a macro downturn compress NII, raise provisions, curtail buybacks/dividends, and weaken trading, pushing valuation toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-03-29

Q4 2025 Earnings & NII Update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
67
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
+0.1
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.3
Δ21d
+5.4
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 67.5 / Value 47.5 / Sentiment 59.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-12-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$388.63
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$339.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$275.28
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-12-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$959.5B
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
2.66B
P/E (TTM)
16.5
P/S (TTM)
5.12
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
7.22
Rev YoY
+18.2%
EPS YoY
+47.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+28.4%
Net Debt
$930.12B
Current Ratio
1.15
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data