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JBL

JabilA
NYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q4 beat and fiscal 2027 outlook support a constructive thesis: management forecasts 24% revenue growth, a 6.1% core margin and roughly $1.6 billion in adjusted free cash flow. JPMorgan reportedly raised its target to $430 from $425 after the print while retaining Overweight.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.
What can break
A large post-beat sell-off and a post-print Barclays target cut indicate valuation and expectations risk despite strong reported results. Analyst-action summary
Momentum
33
Value
60
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $330.00 · Bull $380.00 · Bear $245.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $428.89
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d -1.7
Value60 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +2.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A large post-beat sell-off and a post-print Barclays target cut indicate valuation and expectations risk despite strong reported results. Analyst-action summary
  • • AI infrastructure demand could slow or shift, while customer and program concentration remain insufficiently quantified in the supplied evidence.
  • • The earnings beat did not prevent a roughly 10% September 30 sell-off, suggesting high expectations and concern about the path to fiscal 2027 earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Fiscal Q1 2027 tests the strong post-earnings outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
33
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-8.0
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
+2.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 32.7 / Value 60.1 / Sentiment 67.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$380.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$330.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$245.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$28.71B
Beta
1.24
Shares Out
104.79M
P/E (TTM)
34.7
P/S (TTM)
0.77
P/FCF (TTM)
20.78
Rev YoY
+11.8%
EPS YoY
+27.1%
Gross Margin
+9.0%
Op Margin
+5.0%
Net Debt
$1.77B
Current Ratio
0.98
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data