RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

JBI

Janus International GroupA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
At $5.01, the stock is below the reported $7.62 median analyst target, suggesting potential upside if demand stabilizes and management executes on its strategic framework. Target-count and source details are unavailable, so this is only a weak valuation signal.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.
What can break
Additional FY2026 guidance reductions or delayed recovery
Momentum
25
Value
72
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.50 · Bull $7.62 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.62
Why
Momentum25 · Δ7d -6.8
Value72 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Additional FY2026 guidance reductions or delayed recovery
  • • Competitive, macroeconomic, interest-rate, tariff, supply-chain, and cybersecurity risks
  • • The latest operating commentary is negative: demand was weaker than anticipated and full-year guidance was revised.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-03

Execution across self-storage and commercial initiatives

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
25
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-6.8
Δ21d
-5.8
Value
72
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-9.3
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 25.4 / Value 71.9 / Sentiment 83.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$697.19M
Beta
1.49
Shares Out
136.44M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
1.05
P/FCF (TTM)
6.65
Rev YoY
+2.4%
EPS YoY
-47.0%
Gross Margin
+30.9%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$428.5M
Current Ratio
2.94
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data