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JBI

Janus International GroupA
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Self-storage growth, Nokē adoption and realization of the disclosed restructuring savings could restore margins despite a difficult operating environment. The deterministic score is directionally positive, but this remains a conditional recovery case rather than a confirmed inflection.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.
What can break
Estimated restructuring savings may arrive later or cost more than planned; the company cautioned that actual charges may differ and additional costs could arise. [#8-K-2026-09-25]
Momentum
26
Value
72
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.00 · Bull $6.40 · Bear $3.20Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.42
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +6.0
Value72 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -9.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Estimated restructuring savings may arrive later or cost more than planned; the company cautioned that actual charges may differ and additional costs could arise. [#8-K-2026-09-25]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin fell approximately 430 basis points year over year while Commercial and Other revenue fell 21.2%. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA and margin declined despite revenue growth; Commercial and Other revenue contracted.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-31

Delivery against updated 2026 outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.0
Δ21d
+17.2
Value
72
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.5
Δ21d
-17.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 26.4 / Value 71.6 / Sentiment 58.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$5.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$3.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$607.14M
Beta
1.49
Shares Out
136.44M
P/E (TTM)
20.0
P/S (TTM)
1.05
P/FCF (TTM)
6.65
Rev YoY
+2.4%
EPS YoY
-47.0%
Gross Margin
+30.9%
Op Margin
+10.8%
Net Debt
$428.5M
Current Ratio
2.94
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data