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JBHT

J.B Hunt Transport ServicesC
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 demonstrated meaningful operating leverage: revenue increased 19%, operating income rose 32% and EPS reached $1.91. Management characterized the new cost inflation as more cyclical than structural, while tighter freight capacity could eventually support contractual pricing and surcharge recovery.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
A weaker Q3 result or cautious 2027 bid-season outlook could trigger another estimate and target-revision cycle.
Momentum
31
Value
53
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $230.00 · Bull $300.00 · Bear $185.00Analysis 2026-09-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $283.73
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +7.7
Value53 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A weaker Q3 result or cautious 2027 bid-season outlook could trigger another estimate and target-revision cycle.
  • • Diesel costs may continue rising faster than fuel surcharges can recover them.
  • • The September warning materially weakens the near-term thesis: costs are rising faster than pricing, Q3 earnings are expected to fall sequentially, and JBHT’s intermodal and dedicated contracts may reprice slowly.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-16

Q3 cost warning resets near-term earnings expectations

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.7
Δ21d
+4.9
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 30.8 / Value 52.5 / Sentiment 55.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$300.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
40%
Probability
Target price
$230.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$21.23B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
93.91M
P/E (TTM)
35.0
P/S (TTM)
1.60
P/FCF (TTM)
31.17
Rev YoY
+19.4%
EPS YoY
+45.2%
Gross Margin
+10.5%
Op Margin
+7.6%
Net Debt
$1.7B
Current Ratio
1.26
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data