IVR
Invesco Mortgage CapitalCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The best post-print support is that earnings available for distribution held at $0.55 per share versus $0.56 in Q4, net interest income improved sequentially, repo funding costs eased, and management entered Q2 with a more constructive Agency RMBS view. The stock also finished May 1 at $8.33 versus $8.13 on April 30, suggesting the market absorbed the book-value hit without a breakdown.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -10.1.
What can break
Book value remains highly sensitive to interest-rate volatility, Agency RMBS spread moves, and swap-spread tightening.
Momentum
46
Value
61
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.40 · Bull $8.90 · Bear $7.60
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-05-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.67
Why
Momentum46 · Δ7d -5.3
Value61 · Δ7d -10.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
46
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.3
Δ21d
+5.3
Value
61
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
57
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+12.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 45.8 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 56.7
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-05-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-05-28
Market Cap
$730.52M
Beta
1.71
Shares Out
70.95M
P/E (TTM)
16.7
P/S (TTM)
2.05
P/FCF (TTM)
12.10
Rev YoY
-1.2%
EPS YoY
+18.4%
Gross Margin
+19.1%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$4.82B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

