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IRTC

iRhythmD
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Volume-led Q2 growth and margin expansion could persist, with additional upside if VitalConnect integrates successfully and algorithm productivity benefits materialize. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance require sustained volume growth and operating leverage. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
36
Value
47
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $110.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $80.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $171.33
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d +30.9
Value47 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -7.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance require sustained volume growth and operating leverage. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Projected algorithm review-time and five-year savings benefits remain unproven in reported results. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • The acquisition has not yet closed; integration costs, slower adoption, or failure to realize projected savings could undermine the raised outlook.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-15

Expected VitalConnect closing

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
36
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+30.9
Δ21d
+26.9
Value
47
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-21.1
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 36.2 / Value 47.5 / Sentiment 43.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$4.08B
Beta
1.07
Shares Out
32.96M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-88.9
P/S (TTM)
8.46
P/FCF (TTM)
183.25
Rev YoY
+20.1%
EPS YoY
-97.4%
Gross Margin
+71.5%
Op Margin
+1.4%
Net Debt
$147.42M
Current Ratio
3.85
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data