RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

IRT

Independence Realty TrustB
NYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Rent recovery and successful capital recycling drive FFO accretion; lower vacancies and portfolio optimization push NAV toward the bull target (~$24).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
occupancy or rental-rate declines in key markets
Momentum
30
Value
56
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $20.50 · Bull $24.00 · Bear $16.00Analysis 2026-01-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $19.35
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d -3.5
Value56 · Δ7d -
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +6.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • occupancy or rental-rate declines in key markets
  • • portfolio concentration risk in specific regions
  • • Sustained higher rates, costly refinancing, or weak leasing compress FFO and force discounted asset sales, pushing shares to the mid-teens.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-16

Quarterly earnings (Q4 2025) release and guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.5
Δ21d
-23.9
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
73
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.6
Δ21d
+3.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 29.6 / Value 55.5 / Sentiment 72.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$16.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.03B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
235.75M
P/E (TTM)
180.8
P/S (TTM)
6.33
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
435.97
Rev YoY
+3.1%
EPS YoY
-58.1%
Gross Margin
+20.6%
Op Margin
+17.0%
Net Debt
$2.24B
Current Ratio
0.53
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data