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IPI

Intrepid PotashB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher production, improved Trio costs and margins, lower planned capex, and sale proceeds could support stronger continuing cash generation. The second-quarter release reported adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $17.5 million versus $13.8 million a year earlier.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
What can break
Lower potash sales volumes could persist despite higher production and realized pricing. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Momentum
19
Value
69
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $30.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $23.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $36.50
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +11.6
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -22.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Lower potash sales volumes could persist despite higher production and realized pricing. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Second-quarter reported net income included a $13.2 million gain on the Intrepid South sale; it should not be treated as recurring operating profit. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
  • • Second-quarter sales from continuing operations slipped to $66.7 million from $67.5 million as lower potash volumes offset better pricing; part of reported net income came from a nonrecurring sale gain.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03 · AMC

Test of raised 2026 production guidance

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
19
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.6
Δ21d
-11.1
Value
69
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-22.4
Δ21d
-26.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 19.2 / Value 69.1 / Sentiment 54.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$426.71M
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
13.46M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
36.9
P/S (TTM)
1.34
P/FCF (TTM)
13.32
Rev YoY
-1.3%
EPS YoY
+72.9%
Gross Margin
+19.5%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
-$78.25M
Current Ratio
6.33
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data