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IPI

Intrepid PotashB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed improved recurring operating profitability, especially in Trio, while higher production guidance, lower capital spending, and increased repurchase authorization improve the potential cash-return profile [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.
What can break
Fertilizer pricing and demand could weaken after the current supportive period.
Momentum
84
Value
68
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $45.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $36.50
Why
Momentum84 · Δ7d +10.4
Value68 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +2.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fertilizer pricing and demand could weaken after the current supportive period.
  • • Lower potash sales volumes could offset supportive pricing.
  • • Sales were slightly lower year over year because of lower potash volumes, and reported net income benefited from a $13.2 million gain on the Intrepid South sale.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 profitability improved and 2026 production guidance was raised

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
84
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+42.0
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
55
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.4
Δ21d
-13.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 83.5 / Value 68.0 / Sentiment 55.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$45.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$492.51M
Beta
1.59
Shares Out
13.46M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
42.6
P/S (TTM)
1.34
P/FCF (TTM)
13.32
Rev YoY
-1.3%
EPS YoY
+72.9%
Gross Margin
+19.5%
Op Margin
+6.0%
Net Debt
-$78.25M
Current Ratio
6.33
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data