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IPAR

InterparfumsA
Nasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official Q2 release supports portfolio durability: sales grew 2% in Q2 and the first half, U.S. operations rose 18% in Q2, and Coach, Jimmy Choo, and Montblanc showed strength.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.
What can break
European operations declined 4% in Q2; Eastern Europe fell 7% in the first half and the Middle East and Africa fell 24%.
Momentum
60
Value
56
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $126.00 · Bull $145.00 · Bear $103.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $126.67
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +10.4
Value56 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +5.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • European operations declined 4% in Q2; Eastern Europe fell 7% in the first half and the Middle East and Africa fell 24%.
  • • Full-year guidance was reaffirmed rather than raised, leaving execution and second-half margin recovery as key risks.
  • • The earnings mix was weaker than the topline: Q2 operating income fell 17%, operating margin contracted 330 bps, EPS declined 4%, European operations fell 4%, and Middle East and Africa declined 24%.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 print reaffirmed full-year guidance, but with mixed earnings quality

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
-19.7
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
79
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.3
Δ21d
-2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 59.6 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 79.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$103.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$3.58B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
32.03M
P/E (TTM)
16.7
P/S (TTM)
1.88
P/FCF (TTM)
67.24
Rev YoY
+2.1%
EPS YoY
-4.3%
Gross Margin
+63.8%
Op Margin
+17.3%
Net Debt
-$87.46M
Current Ratio
3.31
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data