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IOSP

InnospecB
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 print exceeded stored pre-earnings expectations, with double-digit revenue and operating-income growth across the businesses. Management expects additional second-half improvement from repairs, operating leverage, technology development and margin initiatives.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
What can break
Fuel Specialties margin compression and weak quarterly operating cash conversion could offset revenue growth.
Momentum
88
Value
52
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $101.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $101.00
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d -9.2
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +0.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fuel Specialties margin compression and weak quarterly operating cash conversion could offset revenue growth.
  • • No post-print analyst estimate, rating or target revisions are available in the packet.
  • • The adjusted EPS increase was modest year over year, Fuel Specialties gross margin declined 1.5 percentage points, operating cash flow was only $7.2 million against $16.5 million of capital expenditure, and the North Carolina repair program remains an execution dependency.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03 · AMC

Q2 2026 earnings beat

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
88
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.2
Δ21d
-2.9
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-7.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 87.5 / Value 52.4 / Sentiment 59.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$101.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$2.46B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
24.63M
P/E (TTM)
95.8
P/S (TTM)
1.08
P/FCF (TTM)
251.73
Rev YoY
+11.8%
EPS YoY
+32.8%
Gross Margin
+27.5%
Op Margin
+8.1%
Net Debt
-$239.8M
Current Ratio
2.78
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data